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Subject: canslim-digest V2 #2168
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canslim-digest Tuesday, February 26 2002 Volume 02 : Number 2168
In this issue:
Re: [CANSLIM] what is to much ownership??
Re: [CANSLIM] what is to much ownership??
Re: [CANSLIM] what is to much ownership??
You Gain From Expert Advice 0105Kwhv5-315mLkel16
Re: [CANSLIM] what is to much ownership??
Re: [CANSLIM] what is to much ownership??
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Date: Tue, 26 Feb 2002 15:40:10 -0600
From: "Katherine Malm"
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] what is to much ownership??
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BlankRich,
I'm a little suspect of the jump between 44.7 & 87.9% ownership in that =
one period. I'd bet the numbers weren't adjusted for a split somewhere, =
which isn't all that uncommon in the databases.
Opinion varies on the maximum desirable % ownership, but Mark Boucher =
suggests 10-40%. When the number of shares outstanding is as small as =
your example, however, there might be other variables to consider. For =
example, how many are authorized and do they have any plans for a =
primary offering any time soon? Is that really 13.9m shares outstanding =
or 13.9m shares in float? If it's a fairly new IPO and those are float =
shares, a good number of shares may still be in lockup and classified as =
insider ownership. Is this a spin-off with a parent company that owns =
most of the shares?
Katherine
----- Original Message -----=20
From: Rich W=20
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
Sent: Tuesday, February 26, 2002 3:11 PM
Subject: [CANSLIM] what is to much ownership??
Tom or anyone else who has an answer to this.
Here is a stock that has increased institutional ownership since =
July,01
Top number is # of funds, banks, etc.
2nd row is % of ownership
72 95 104 116 140 149 158=20
46.9 38.8 35.3 44.7 87.9 91.4 92.4=20
Total shares outstanding =3D=3D 13,910,000 @21.50
From Market Guide
is this much ownership too much, and what is the Max to look for=20
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Blank
Rich,
I'm a little suspect of the =
jump=20
between 44.7 & 87.9% ownership in that one period. I'd bet the =
numbers=20
weren't adjusted for a split somewhere, which isn't all that uncommon in =
the=20
databases.
Opinion varies on the =
maximum desirable=20
% ownership, but Mark Boucher suggests 10-40%. When the number of shares =
outstanding is as small as your example, however, there might be other =
variables=20
to consider. For example, how many are authorized and do they have any =
plans for=20
a primary offering any time soon? Is that really 13.9m shares =
outstanding=20
or 13.9m shares in float? If it's a fairly new IPO and those are float =
shares, a=20
good number of shares may still be in lockup and classified as insider=20
ownership. Is this a spin-off with a parent company that owns most of =
the=20
shares?
Katherine
----- Original Message -----
Sent: Tuesday, February 26, =
2002 3:11=20
PM
Subject: [CANSLIM] what is to =
much=20
ownership??
Tom or anyone else who has an answer to =
this.
Here is a stock that has increased institutional =
ownership=20
since July,01
Top number is # of funds, banks, etc.
2nd row is % of ownership
72 |
95 |
104 |
116 |
140 |
149 |
158 |
46.9 |
38.8 |
35.3 |
44.7 |
87.9 |
91.4 |
92.4 |
Total shares outstanding =3D=3D =
13,910,000 =20
@21.50
From Market Guide
is this much ownership too much, and what is =
the Max to=20
look for
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- -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or
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------------------------------
Date: Tue, 26 Feb 2002 16:46:30 -0500
From: "Rob Miller"
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] what is to much ownership??
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BlankRich,
This is too much in my opinion. I don't use a specific number as a =
screen, but 92% is clearly too high. Sometimes, depending on the type =
of stock and the number of shares outstanding, it may be the case that =
much of the institutional ownership is from pensions, state plans, etc., =
where the probability of large scale selling is reduced. In this case, =
you have a small number of shares (although I don't know the price, so =
I'm assuming its not a $300 stock), so in all likelihood mutual funds =
are the biggest holders. Mutual funds are weaker sponsors, so while =
there is little room for further instititutional buying, there are a =
large number of potential sellers. I rarely bother digging that deep =
into the sponsorship structure if institutional ownership is high. I =
usually just look at DGO and if fund ownership is too high, say over =
30%, then I just move on. DGO only shows funds and banks, whereas other =
sources include all sponsors so the numbers are much higher, and less =
reliable. I assume you are not using DGO since few stocks have fund and =
bank sponsorship greater than 90% (a scan turned up only 12). I would =
stick to DGO, if you have it, and avoid other sources, unless someone =
else on the list can recommend another reliable source...I haven't found =
one. =20
Rob
- ----- Original Message -----=20
From: Rich W=20
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
Sent: Tuesday, February 26, 2002 4:11 PM
Subject: [CANSLIM] what is to much ownership??
Tom or anyone else who has an answer to this.
Here is a stock that has increased institutional ownership since =
July,01
Top number is # of funds, banks, etc.
2nd row is % of ownership
72 95 104 116 140 149 158=20
46.9 38.8 35.3 44.7 87.9 91.4 92.4=20
Total shares outstanding =3D=3D 13,910,000 @21.50
From Market Guide
is this much ownership too much, and what is the Max to look for=20
- ------=_NextPart_001_0025_01C1BEE5.23DBCC40
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charset="Windows-1252"
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Blank
Rich,
This is too much in my opinion. I don't use a specific number =
as a=20
screen, but 92% is clearly too high. Sometimes, depending on the =
type of=20
stock and the number of shares outstanding, it may be the case that much =
of the=20
institutional ownership is from pensions, state plans, etc., where the=20
probability of large scale selling is reduced. In this =
case, you have=20
a small number of shares (although I don't know the price, so I'm =
assuming its=20
not a $300 stock), so in all likelihood mutual funds are the biggest=20
holders. Mutual funds are weaker sponsors, so while there is =
little room=20
for further instititutional buying, there are a large number of =
potential=20
sellers. I rarely bother digging that deep into the =
sponsorship=20
structure if institutional ownership is high. I usually=20
just look at DGO and if fund ownership is too high, say over 30%, =
then I=20
just move on. DGO only shows funds and banks, whereas other =
sources=20
include all sponsors so the numbers are much higher, and less =
reliable. I=20
assume you are not using DGO since few stocks have fund and bank =
sponsorship=20
greater than 90% (a scan turned up only 12). I would stick to DGO, =
if you=20
have it, and avoid other sources, unless someone else on the list can =
recommend=20
another reliable source...I haven't found one.
Rob
----- Original Message -----
Sent: Tuesday, February 26, =
2002 4:11=20
PM
Subject: [CANSLIM] what is to =
much=20
ownership??
Tom or anyone else who has an answer to =
this.
Here is a stock that has increased institutional =
ownership=20
since July,01
Top number is # of funds, banks, etc.
2nd row is % of ownership
72 |
95 |
104 |
116 |
140 |
149 |
158 |
46.9 |
38.8 |
35.3 |
44.7 |
87.9 |
91.4 |
92.4 |
Total shares outstanding =3D=3D =
13,910,000 =20
@21.50
From Market Guide
is this much ownership too much, and what is =
the Max to=20
look for
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- -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or
- -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email.
------------------------------
Date: Tue, 26 Feb 2002 17:02:56 -0600
From: "Rich W"
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] what is to much ownership??
This is a multi-part message in MIME format.
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Rob,
I do have DGO and here is what they show today
Funds 13%, Banks 8 %, and Mgmt 12%
I just went back to Market guide and now they show 67% with 3.5m sold =
since last report.
this in 10 days ( not sure when this took place).
MSN also shows about the same now, but also showed big % on the 15th
when I wrote to DGO as to why they had so much smaller numbers, they
said they do not include as much ( can not find the answer now, was from =
the 15th).
So I am not sure who to check for ownership, but it does show one must =
check more
than one source for the facts.
the stock is TALX, a St.Louis Co.
- ------=_NextPart_000_0079_01C1BEE7.6F849FD0
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Rob,
I do have DGO and here is =
what they show=20
today
Funds 13%, Banks 8 %, and =
Mgmt=20
12%
I just went back to Market =
guide and now=20
they show 67% with 3.5m sold since last report.
this in 10 days ( not sure =
when this took=20
place).
MSN also shows about the same =
now, but=20
also showed big % on the 15th
when I wrote to DGO as to why =
they had so=20
much smaller numbers, they
said they do not include as =
much ( can=20
not find the answer now, was from the 15th).
So I am not sure who to check =
for=20
ownership, but it does show one must check more
than one source for the=20
facts.
the stock is TALX, a St.Louis =
Co.
- ------=_NextPart_000_0079_01C1BEE7.6F849FD0--
- -
- -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com"
- -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or
- -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email.
------------------------------
Date: Tue, 26 Feb 2002 16:07:57 -0700
From:
Subject: You Gain From Expert Advice 0105Kwhv5-315mLkel16
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------------------------------
Date: Tue, 26 Feb 2002 19:45:24 -0500
From: "Rob Miller"
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] what is to much ownership??
This is a multi-part message in MIME format.
- ------=_NextPart_000_001E_01C1BEFE.21D48130
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Rich,
Sorry for the long winded answer...but...as you know, DGO only includes =
banks and funds. They exclude institutional sponsors, pension funds, =
endowments, etc. Bank and fund holdings tend to be more volatile which =
is why I think DGO includes them. Institutional sponsors will often =
hold stocks for political or other reasons. For example, an endowment =
may hold the stock of a company that they have some relationship with, =
or a investment management company may hold a stock because a wealthy =
client has directed them to do so. These holdings tend to change much =
less frequently. As for TALX, the reason for the abrupt change in =
ownership appears to be that their venture capitalist, HLM Management, =
sold all their holdings. At the end of the third quarter, HLM owned =
almost 27.5% of the stock, all of which was sold by year end. This is =
not uncommon. Venture capitalist firms are strong holders while they =
wait for their hand to play out, but once their objectives are met, =
they're gone.
It would be better if DGO included some institutional sponsors. A fund =
company like Janus could own 1 million shares total, but only 100,000 =
shares in retail mutual funds. The rest would be in separately managed =
(private) accounts, which would not show up on DGO. Alas, that would be =
asking too much. =20
Rob =20
=20
----- Original Message -----=20
From: Rich W=20
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
Sent: Tuesday, February 26, 2002 6:02 PM
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] what is to much ownership??
Rob,
I do have DGO and here is what they show today
Funds 13%, Banks 8 %, and Mgmt 12%
I just went back to Market guide and now they show 67% with 3.5m sold =
since last report.
this in 10 days ( not sure when this took place).
MSN also shows about the same now, but also showed big % on the 15th
when I wrote to DGO as to why they had so much smaller numbers, they
said they do not include as much ( can not find the answer now, was =
from the 15th).
So I am not sure who to check for ownership, but it does show one must =
check more
than one source for the facts.
the stock is TALX, a St.Louis Co.
- ------=_NextPart_000_001E_01C1BEFE.21D48130
Content-Type: text/html;
charset="Windows-1252"
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
Rich,
Sorry for the long winded =
answer...but...as you=20
know, DGO only includes banks and funds. They exclude =
institutional=20
sponsors, pension funds, endowments, etc. Bank and fund holdings =
tend to=20
be more volatile which is why I think DGO includes them. =
Institutional=20
sponsors will often hold stocks for political or other reasons. =
For=20
example, an endowment may hold the stock of a company that =
they have=20
some relationship with, or a investment management company may hold a =
stock=20
because a wealthy client has directed them to do so. These =
holdings tend=20
to change much less frequently. As for TALX, the reason for =
the=20
abrupt change in ownership appears to be that their venture=20
capitalist, HLM Management, sold all their holdings. At the =
end of=20
the third quarter, HLM owned almost 27.5% of the stock, all of =
which=20
was sold by year end. This is not uncommon. Venture =
capitalist firms=20
are strong holders while they wait for their hand to play out, =
but=20
once their objectives are met, they're gone.
It would be better if DGO included some =
institutional sponsors. A fund company like Janus could =
own 1=20
million shares total, but only 100,000 shares in retail mutual =
funds. The=20
rest would be in separately managed (private) accounts, which would not=20
show up on DGO. Alas, that would be asking too=20
much.
Rob
----- Original Message -----
Sent: Tuesday, February 26, =
2002 6:02=20
PM
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] what is =
to much=20
ownership??
Rob,
I do have DGO and here is =
what they=20
show today
Funds 13%, Banks 8 %, and =
Mgmt=20
12%
I just went back to Market =
guide and=20
now they show 67% with 3.5m sold since last report.
this in 10 days ( not sure =
when this=20
took place).
MSN also shows about the =
same now, but=20
also showed big % on the 15th
when I wrote to DGO as to =
why they had=20
so much smaller numbers, they
said they do not include as =
much ( can=20
not find the answer now, was from the 15th).
So I am not sure who to =
check for=20
ownership, but it does show one must check more
than one source for the=20
facts.
the stock is TALX, a =
St.Louis=20
Co.
- ------=_NextPart_000_001E_01C1BEFE.21D48130--
- -
- -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com"
- -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or
- -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email.
------------------------------
Date: Tue, 26 Feb 2002 20:45:01 -0500
From: "Tom Worley"
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] what is to much ownership??
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I much prefer from 0% to 10% funds ownership. I never consider bank =
ownership, as I have found that they are often the proxy owner for =
otherwise unidentified holders. Occasionally, I will look at ownership =
by venture capitalists and pension funds.
I have very rarely bought a stock with funds ownership over 20-30% =
ownership, and usually then only because management had a very large =
stake (often 50-60%) leaving very few shares in the float (thus =
exaggerating the funds ownership percentage).
Even DGO's 13% funds ownership is quite high on a company with only 13.9 =
million shares outstanding.
I also note that sales growth seems slight compared to the large growth =
in earnings. Company has forecasted Q4 results (ending March) which =
continues this pattern. I would want to be sure this represents a shift =
to higher margin products and not just cost cutting.
Tom Worley
stkguru@netside.net
AIM: TexWorley
----- Original Message -----=20
From: Rob Miller=20
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
Sent: Tuesday, February 26, 2002 7:45 PM
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] what is to much ownership??
Rich,
Sorry for the long winded answer...but...as you know, DGO only =
includes banks and funds. They exclude institutional sponsors, pension =
funds, endowments, etc. Bank and fund holdings tend to be more volatile =
which is why I think DGO includes them. Institutional sponsors will =
often hold stocks for political or other reasons. For example, an =
endowment may hold the stock of a company that they have some =
relationship with, or a investment management company may hold a stock =
because a wealthy client has directed them to do so. These holdings =
tend to change much less frequently. As for TALX, the reason for the =
abrupt change in ownership appears to be that their venture capitalist, =
HLM Management, sold all their holdings. At the end of the third =
quarter, HLM owned almost 27.5% of the stock, all of which was sold by =
year end. This is not uncommon. Venture capitalist firms are strong =
holders while they wait for their hand to play out, but once their =
objectives are met, they're gone.
It would be better if DGO included some institutional sponsors. A =
fund company like Janus could own 1 million shares total, but only =
100,000 shares in retail mutual funds. The rest would be in separately =
managed (private) accounts, which would not show up on DGO. Alas, that =
would be asking too much. =20
Rob =20
=20
----- Original Message -----=20
From: Rich W=20
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20
Sent: Tuesday, February 26, 2002 6:02 PM
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] what is to much ownership??
Rob,
I do have DGO and here is what they show today
Funds 13%, Banks 8 %, and Mgmt 12%
I just went back to Market guide and now they show 67% with 3.5m =
sold since last report.
this in 10 days ( not sure when this took place).
MSN also shows about the same now, but also showed big % on the 15th
when I wrote to DGO as to why they had so much smaller numbers, they
said they do not include as much ( can not find the answer now, was =
from the 15th).
So I am not sure who to check for ownership, but it does show one =
must check more
than one source for the facts.
the stock is TALX, a St.Louis Co.
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I much prefer from 0% to 10% funds ownership. I =
never=20
consider bank ownership, as I have found that they are often the proxy =
owner for=20
otherwise unidentified holders. Occasionally, I will look at ownership =
by=20
venture capitalists and pension funds.
I have very rarely bought a stock with funds =
ownership=20
over 20-30% ownership, and usually then only because management had a =
very large=20
stake (often 50-60%) leaving very few shares in the float (thus =
exaggerating the=20
funds ownership percentage).
Even DGO's 13% funds ownership is quite high on =
a company=20
with only 13.9 million shares outstanding.
I also note that sales growth seems slight =
compared to the=20
large growth in earnings. Company has forecasted Q4 results (ending =
March) which=20
continues this pattern. I would want to be sure this represents a shift =
to=20
higher margin products and not just cost cutting.
----- Original Message -----
Sent: Tuesday, February 26, =
2002 7:45=20
PM
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] what is =
to much=20
ownership??
Rich,
Sorry for the long winded =
answer...but...as you=20
know, DGO only includes banks and funds. They exclude =
institutional=20
sponsors, pension funds, endowments, etc. Bank and fund holdings =
tend to=20
be more volatile which is why I think DGO includes them. =
Institutional=20
sponsors will often hold stocks for political or other reasons. =
For=20
example, an endowment may hold the stock of a company that =
they have=20
some relationship with, or a investment management company may hold a =
stock=20
because a wealthy client has directed them to do so. These =
holdings tend=20
to change much less frequently. As for TALX, the reason for =
the=20
abrupt change in ownership appears to be that their venture=20
capitalist, HLM Management, sold all their holdings. At the =
end of=20
the third quarter, HLM owned almost 27.5% of the stock, all =
of which=20
was sold by year end. This is not uncommon. Venture =
capitalist=20
firms are strong holders while they wait for their hand to =
play out,=20
but once their objectives are met, they're gone.
It would be better if DGO included =
some=20
institutional sponsors. A fund company like Janus =
could own 1=20
million shares total, but only 100,000 shares in retail mutual =
funds. =20
The rest would be in separately managed (private) accounts, which =
would not=20
show up on DGO. Alas, that would be asking too=20
much.
Rob
----- Original Message -----
Sent: Tuesday, February 26, =
2002 6:02=20
PM
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] what =
is to much=20
ownership??
Rob,
I do have DGO and here is =
what they=20
show today
Funds 13%, Banks 8 %, and =
Mgmt=20
12%
I just went back to =
Market guide and=20
now they show 67% with 3.5m sold since last report.
this in 10 days ( not =
sure when this=20
took place).
MSN also shows about the =
same now,=20
but also showed big % on the 15th
when I wrote to DGO as to =
why they=20
had so much smaller numbers, they
said they do not include =
as much (=20
can not find the answer now, was from the 15th).
So I am not sure who to =
check for=20
ownership, but it does show one must check more
than one source for the=20
facts.
the stock is TALX, a =
St.Louis=20
Co.
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