From: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com (canslim-digest) To: canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com Subject: canslim-digest V2 #2959 Reply-To: canslim Sender: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com Errors-To: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com Precedence: bulk Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable X-No-Archive: yes canslim-digest Saturday, September 28 2002 Volume 02 : Number 2959 In this issue: Re: [CANSLIM] Date: Thu, 26 Sep 2002 07:19:50 -0700 [CANSLIM] Datek Re: [CANSLIM] Date: Thu, 26 Sep 2002 07:19:50 -0700 RE: [CANSLIM] Date: Thu, 26 Sep 2002 07:19:50 -0700 [CANSLIM] TTWO Re: [CANSLIM] Date: Thu, 26 Sep 2002 07:19:50 -0700 [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 27 Sep 2002 12:30:54 -0400 From: "J. Lobatto" Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Date: Thu, 26 Sep 2002 07:19:50 -0700 This is a multi-part message in MIME format. - ------=_NextPart_000_0012_01C26621.B8F4CC80 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Jeff, Actually I didn't mind since it was a free coupon, but I guess you have = to be consistent. Jon ----- Original Message -----=20 From: Jeff Salisbury=20 To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20 Sent: Friday, September 27, 2002 12:25 PM Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Date: Thu, 26 Sep 2002 07:19:50 -0700 Hello canslim'ers,=20 FYI, this gentleman has been removed from the group for his blatant = advertising.=20 Regards,=20 Jeff Salisbury - canslim admin/owner=20 Brice Wightman wrote:=20 CANSLIMers, here is your FREE $50 gift certificate good toward = purchase of=20 any item at=20 TradersGalleria.com, = http://www.tradersgalleria.com/galleria.site?src=3Dxx14.=20 (Many books under $50). Take your pick from among any of the = hundreds of=20 trading books, trading video courses, and software created by = well-known=20 professional traders. Use the gift certificate code ZUC50769-RG when = making=20 your purchase and your items will be shipped right out to you. If = you=20 prefer ordering by phone, call (888) 484-8220 ext. 1. Valid one-time = only.=20 Limit one per household. This offer is not transferable and cannot = be=20 combined with any other discount, special offer or promotion. Coupon = expires=20 Sunday, September 29 at Midnight EDT.=20 -=20 -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com"=20 -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or=20 -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. =20 - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" -In the = email body, write "subscribe canslim" or -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not = use quotes in your email. - ------=_NextPart_000_0012_01C26621.B8F4CC80 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
Jeff,
 
Actually I didn't mind since it = was a free=20 coupon, but I guess you have to be consistent.
 
Jon
----- Original Message -----
From:=20 Jeff Salisbury =
To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=
Sent: Friday, September 27, = 2002 12:25=20 PM
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Date: = Thu, 26 Sep=20 2002 07:19:50 -0700

Hello canslim'ers,=20

FYI, this gentleman has been removed from the group for his blatant = advertising.=20

Regards,=20

Jeff Salisbury - canslim admin/owner=20

Brice Wightman wrote:=20

CANSLIMers, here is your FREE $50 gift = certificate=20 good toward purchase of
any item at
TradersGalleria.com, http://w= ww.tradersgalleria.com/galleria.site?src=3Dxx14.=20
(Many books under $50). Take your pick from among any of the = hundreds of=20
trading books, trading video courses, and software created by = well-known=20
professional traders. Use the gift certificate code ZUC50769-RG = when=20 making
your purchase and your items will be shipped right out to = you.  If you
prefer ordering by phone, call (888) 484-8220 = ext. 1.=20 Valid one-time only.
Limit one per household. This offer is not=20 transferable and cannot be
combined with any other discount, = special=20 offer or promotion. Coupon expires
Sunday, September 29 at = Midnight EDT.=20

-
-To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" =
-In=20 the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or
-"unsubscribe=20 canslim".  Do not use quotes in your = email.


 =20
  - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" = - -In the=20 email body, write "subscribe canslim" or -"unsubscribe canslim". Do = not use=20 quotes in your email. - ------=_NextPart_000_0012_01C26621.B8F4CC80-- - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Sep 2002 17:25:58 GMT From: "Boyd" Subject: [CANSLIM] Datek Anyone else having trouble getting to Datek.com this afternoon? Norm - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Sep 2002 20:19:42 -0400 From: "Dan Forant" Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Date: Thu, 26 Sep 2002 07:19:50 -0700 This is a multi-part message in MIME format. - ------=_NextPart_000_0075_01C26663.369DC560 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable There's always one in the crowd :>) DanF - ----- Original Message -----=20 From: J. Lobatto=20 To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20 Sent: Friday, September 27, 2002 12:30 PM Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Date: Thu, 26 Sep 2002 07:19:50 -0700 Jeff, Actually I didn't mind since it was a free coupon, but I guess you = have to be consistent. Jon ----- Original Message -----=20 From: Jeff Salisbury=20 To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20 Sent: Friday, September 27, 2002 12:25 PM Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Date: Thu, 26 Sep 2002 07:19:50 -0700 Hello canslim'ers,=20 FYI, this gentleman has been removed from the group for his blatant = advertising.=20 Regards,=20 Jeff Salisbury - canslim admin/owner=20 Brice Wightman wrote:=20 CANSLIMers, here is your FREE $50 gift certificate good toward = purchase of=20 any item at=20 TradersGalleria.com, = http://www.tradersgalleria.com/galleria.site?src=3Dxx14.=20 (Many books under $50). Take your pick from among any of the = hundreds of=20 trading books, trading video courses, and software created by = well-known=20 professional traders. Use the gift certificate code ZUC50769-RG = when making=20 your purchase and your items will be shipped right out to you. If = you=20 prefer ordering by phone, call (888) 484-8220 ext. 1. Valid = one-time only.=20 Limit one per household. This offer is not transferable and cannot = be=20 combined with any other discount, special offer or promotion. = Coupon expires=20 Sunday, September 29 at Midnight EDT.=20 -=20 -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com"=20 -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or=20 -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. =20 - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" -In = the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or -"unsubscribe canslim". Do = not use quotes in your email. - ------=_NextPart_000_0075_01C26663.369DC560 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
There's always one in the crowd = :>)
 
DanF
----- Original Message -----
From:=20 J. = Lobatto=20
Sent: Friday, September 27, = 2002 12:30=20 PM
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Date: = Thu, 26 Sep=20 2002 07:19:50 -0700

Jeff,
 
Actually I didn't mind since = it was a free=20 coupon, but I guess you have to be consistent.
 
Jon
----- Original Message -----
From:=20 Jeff Salisbury =
Sent: Friday, September 27, = 2002 12:25=20 PM
Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Date: = Thu, 26=20 Sep 2002 07:19:50 -0700

Hello canslim'ers,=20

FYI, this gentleman has been removed from the group for his = blatant=20 advertising.=20

Regards,=20

Jeff Salisbury - canslim admin/owner=20

Brice Wightman wrote:=20

CANSLIMers, here is your FREE $50 gift = certificate=20 good toward purchase of
any item at
TradersGalleria.com, = http://w= ww.tradersgalleria.com/galleria.site?src=3Dxx14.=20
(Many books under $50). Take your pick from among any of the = hundreds=20 of
trading books, trading video courses, and software created = by=20 well-known
professional traders. Use the gift certificate code = ZUC50769-RG when making
your purchase and your items will be = shipped=20 right out to you.  If you
prefer ordering by phone, call = (888)=20 484-8220 ext. 1. Valid one-time only.
Limit one per household. = This=20 offer is not transferable and cannot be
combined with any = other=20 discount, special offer or promotion. Coupon expires
Sunday, = September=20 29 at Midnight EDT.=20

-
-To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" =
-In=20 the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or
-"unsubscribe=20 canslim".  Do not use quotes in your = email.


 =20
  - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email = "majordomo@xmission.com" -In=20 the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or -"unsubscribe canslim". = Do not=20 use quotes in your email.
- ------=_NextPart_000_0075_01C26663.369DC560-- - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Sep 2002 21:24:09 -0400 From: "Jeff Bogatay" Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] Date: Thu, 26 Sep 2002 07:19:50 -0700 Actually, I was thinking along the same lines as Jon. Brice is one of the webmasters at tradingmarkets.com, he was the one who extended the 3 month trial offer to the group. - -----Original Message----- From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com [mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com] On Behalf Of Dan Forant Sent: Friday, September 27, 2002 8:20 PM To: canslim@lists.xmission.com Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Date: Thu, 26 Sep 2002 07:19:50 -0700 There's always one in the crowd :>) DanF - ----- Original Message ----- From: J. Lobatto To: canslim@lists.xmission.com Sent: Friday, September 27, 2002 12:30 PM Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Date: Thu, 26 Sep 2002 07:19:50 -0700 Jeff, Actually I didn't mind since it was a free coupon, but I guess you have to be consistent. Jon - ----- Original Message ----- From: Jeff Salisbury To: canslim@lists.xmission.com Sent: Friday, September 27, 2002 12:25 PM Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Date: Thu, 26 Sep 2002 07:19:50 -0700 Hello canslim'ers, FYI, this gentleman has been removed from the group for his blatant advertising. Regards, Jeff Salisbury - canslim admin/owner Brice Wightman wrote: CANSLIMers, here is your FREE $50 gift certificate good toward purchase of any item at TradersGalleria.com, http://www.tradersgalleria.com/galleria.site?src=xx14. (Many books under $50). Take your pick from among any of the hundreds of trading books, trading video courses, and software created by well-known professional traders. Use the gift certificate code ZUC50769-RG when making your purchase and your items will be shipped right out to you. If you prefer ordering by phone, call (888) 484-8220 ext. 1. Valid one-time only. Limit one per household. This offer is not transferable and cannot be combined with any other discount, special offer or promotion. Coupon expires Sunday, September 29 at Midnight EDT. - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Sep 2002 22:57:51 -0400 From: "Tom Worley" Subject: [CANSLIM] TTWO nice b/o on 3X ADV from the handle of the cup today, despite its 3 week trading halt earlier this year, and the gap down that started the cup. Tom Worley stkguru@bellsouth.net AIM: TexWorley - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 27 Sep 2002 20:10:30 -0700 From: "Mike Lucero" Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Date: Thu, 26 Sep 2002 07:19:50 -0700 If someone wants to give us a discount, how are we to find out about it? Mike - ----- Original Message ----- From: "Jeff Bogatay" To: Sent: Friday, September 27, 2002 6:24 PM Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] Date: Thu, 26 Sep 2002 07:19:50 -0700 Actually, I was thinking along the same lines as Jon. Brice is one of the webmasters at tradingmarkets.com, he was the one who extended the 3 month trial offer to the group. - -----Original Message----- From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com [mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com] On Behalf Of Dan Forant Sent: Friday, September 27, 2002 8:20 PM To: canslim@lists.xmission.com Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Date: Thu, 26 Sep 2002 07:19:50 -0700 There's always one in the crowd :>) DanF - ----- Original Message ----- From: J. Lobatto To: canslim@lists.xmission.com Sent: Friday, September 27, 2002 12:30 PM Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Date: Thu, 26 Sep 2002 07:19:50 -0700 Jeff, Actually I didn't mind since it was a free coupon, but I guess you have to be consistent. Jon - ----- Original Message ----- From: Jeff Salisbury To: canslim@lists.xmission.com Sent: Friday, September 27, 2002 12:25 PM Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Date: Thu, 26 Sep 2002 07:19:50 -0700 Hello canslim'ers, FYI, this gentleman has been removed from the group for his blatant advertising. Regards, Jeff Salisbury - canslim admin/owner Brice Wightman wrote: CANSLIMers, here is your FREE $50 gift certificate good toward purchase of any item at TradersGalleria.com, http://www.tradersgalleria.com/galleria.site?src=xx14. (Many books under $50). Take your pick from among any of the hundreds of trading books, trading video courses, and software created by well-known professional traders. Use the gift certificate code ZUC50769-RG when making your purchase and your items will be shipped right out to you. If you prefer ordering by phone, call (888) 484-8220 ext. 1. Valid one-time only. Limit one per household. This offer is not transferable and cannot be combined with any other discount, special offer or promotion. Coupon expires Sunday, September 29 at Midnight EDT. - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 28 Sep 2002 10:48:20 -0400 From: "Tom Worley" Subject: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview This is a multi-part message in MIME format. - ------=_NextPart_000_004D_01C266DC.8F3C09B0 Content-Type: multipart/alternative; boundary="----=_NextPart_001_004E_01C266DC.8F3C09B0" - ------=_NextPart_001_004E_01C266DC.8F3C09B0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable ECONOMICS Leading Indicators failed to revive the market on Tuesday, coming in at = a negative 0.2% for August (expectations of 0.1% decline), even with the = upward revision of July from neg 0.4% to neg 0.1%. Third month in a row = that the Leading Indicators declined. Seven of the ten components of the = index indicated a weakening economy. Consumer confidence dipped again, to 93.3, for the fourth monthly drop = in a row, despite August being revised up to 94.5. The good news was = that it was not as bad as expected, which was a drop to 92.4. = Interestingly, the Present Situation Index plunged to 88.5 from 93.1. = Offsetting it was the Future Expectations, which managed to rise from = 95.5 to 96.5. Feds kept rates unchanged, and a bias towards a concern over economic = weakness rather than any fear of inflation. Still, two of the twelve = voters wanted a rate cut, first time there has been dissent in nine = months. Personally, I think Mr. G is waiting too long if he wants to get = this feeble economy doing anything before it slips back into recession. = Odds are now 88% in favor of a rate cut at the Nov 6 meeting, but = unlikely to be any action between this meeting and next. The Census Bureau reports that poverty level in the USA rose last year = for the first time in eight years, hitting a rate of 11.7%, up from = 11.3% in 2000. Overall, 32.9 million Americans were living in poverty = compared to 31.6 million. Median household income also declined 2.2% to = $42,228. Sales of existing homes fell 1.3% to 5.28 million/year (expectations for = a rise to 5.4 million from a revised July rate of 5.37 million). Last = year's record was 5.3 million units sold, expectations for this year's = total remain at 5.44 million units. And mortgage rates hit a new record = low last week (5.85% for a 30 year), but may start rising in the future = due increasing delinquency and default rates causing lending practices = to tighten. New jobless claims fell to 406,000 from 430K, expected was 420K. The 4 = week moving average slipped to 419K from 420K. Durable goods orders for August only fell 0.6% against expectations of a = drop of 2.6 to 3.4%. Some forecasts were for a drop of as much as 4.8%. = Excluding defense goods, the rate rose 0.6%. Excluding transportation, = the orders fell 0.9%. IMF (Int'l Monetary Fund) trimmed its forecasts for this year and next = globally. Overall, it lowered forecasts for the global economy to 2.8%, = only slightly ahead of last year's 2.2% growth (worst in a decade). For = 2003, they shaved 0.3%, lowering the forecast to 3.7%. For the USA, = growth this year was cut to 2.2% and for next year to only 2.6% (down = 0.8%). Sure, the worst is over, and if you are sure of that, I have a bridge or = two to sell you. That's why SBC Comms announced layoffs of another = 11,000 workers for the 4th qtr, along with a cut in capital equipment = spending of over 30% for next year. Remember the scenario, eventually = the strong consumer spending that made the recession so shallow and = brought us out so quickly would slow, but by then corporate spending = would kick in as the economy improved and they ramped up production?? So = far consumer spending has not substantially slowed, even tho retailers = including WalMart and Target already warned of weak sales at stores = opened a year or more. But business spending is not increasing either. Univ. of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment for Sept was revised down = slightly, to 86.1 from 86.2, and continuing a trend down (August final = was 87.6). Expectations were for a revision to 86.0. Current conditions = index fell to 95.8 from 98.5 in August, and Expectation index fell to = 79.9 from 80.6. Final figures for the 2nd Qtr GDP were revised upward to 1.3% from 1.1%. = Consumer spending rose 1.8%. Business investment in new plants and = equipment fell 2.4%.=20 Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill reassured the Group of 7 that met in = advance of the annual meetings of IMF and the World Bank that the USA = had "weathered the storm" and should resume stronger growth in the = months ahead. In a continuing labor dispute during ongoing contract negotiations, = Management of all West Coast ports locked out dock workers from 6PM = Friday to 8 AM Sunday, charging the union with "strike with pay" by = organizing a work slowdown. One sticking point? Data collected at other = computers is entered by hand at computers at the port by union clerks, = Management wants the data downloaded and offered job guarantees for = clerks no longer needed. The union wants staffing level guarantees, and = jurisdiction for other work at the ports. Worth noting - major retailers = estimate that every one day delay at the port can back up goods for = about one week, and right now the ports are busy with unloading = merchandise for the Christmas shopping season. If it's not on the shelf = in the stores, consumers don't buy it. - -------------------------------------------------------------------------= - ------- WORLEY'S WATCHLIST WANNABES=20 This list is in no way intended to recommend any stocks to the group. It = is a part of my regular personal assessment of the health of CANSLIM's = "M" and, as the name implies, only intended to identify some stocks with = constructive chart patterns that may be worth WATCHING and learning from = (and of course doing your own due diligence). I am employed in = Operations by a US Broker Dealer, however everything presented by me is = strictly my own ideas and in no way should be taken to reflect the views = or opinions of my employer. I typically list stocks with both RS and EPS ranking of 80 or better, = and try to exclude stocks undergoing any merger / acquisition / buyout = scenario. I look at all charts that meet this general RS/EPS criteria, = focusing on ones at or close to a new 12 month high. I consider all = industry groups and prices, even those I will not consider for my = personal investing. I no longer will actively consider earnings forecast = for this year and next due the confusing data presented by DGO. I do no = due diligence, that is your responsibility. I will note any CANSLIM = patterns I see, such as c&h, double (or triple) bottoms, or flat bases = (shown as Bx where "x" is the # of weeks, IMO). I will also note LLUR = (Lower Left Upper Right) even though it is not exactly a CANSLIM = pattern. Rarely are any of these stocks of interest to me for my = personal investing due size, price or industry group. I will note any = stocks in which I have a current personal financial interest. The population of stocks I am reviewing this weekend is the smallest I = can recall in a long time. I don't expect much from it. APOL - LLUR BYD - nice b/o from the handle 9/25, but volume not convincing CCCG - c&h CECO - consolidating COCO - B4 DF - B3 ERES - LLUR MWRK - c&h, nice capitulation right in the middle of the cup, good = symmetry PETM - c&h PORT - B8 PXXI - B4 SBMC - B3 THO - c&h TTWO - passed pivot of the handle on 3X ADV on Friday Happy hunting, Tom Worley stkguru@bellsouth.net AIM: TexWorley - ------=_NextPart_001_004E_01C266DC.8F3C09B0 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
ECONOMICS
Leading Indicators failed to revive the market = on Tuesday,=20 coming in at a negative 0.2% for August (expectations of 0.1% decline), = even=20 with the upward revision of July from neg 0.4% to neg 0.1%. Third month = in a row=20 that the Leading Indicators declined. Seven of the ten components of the = index=20 indicated a weakening economy.
 
Consumer confidence dipped again, to 93.3, for = the fourth=20 monthly drop in a row, despite August being revised = up to=20 94.5. The good news was that it was not as bad as expected, which was a = drop to=20 92.4. Interestingly, the Present Situation Index plunged to 88.5 from = 93.1.=20 Offsetting it was the Future Expectations, which managed to rise from = 95.5 to=20 96.5.
 
Feds kept rates unchanged, and a bias towards a = concern=20 over economic weakness rather than any fear of inflation. Still, two of = the=20 twelve voters wanted a rate cut, first time there has been dissent in = nine=20 months. Personally, I think Mr. G is waiting too long if he wants to get = this=20 feeble economy doing anything before it slips back into recession. Odds = are now=20 88% in favor of a rate cut at the Nov 6 meeting, but unlikely to be any = action=20 between this meeting and next.
 
The Census Bureau reports that poverty level in = the USA=20 rose last year for the first time in eight years, hitting a rate of = 11.7%, up=20 from 11.3% in 2000. Overall, 32.9 million Americans were living in = poverty=20 compared to 31.6 million. Median household income also declined 2.2% to=20 $42,228.
 
Sales of existing homes fell 1.3% to 5.28 = million/year=20 (expectations for a rise to 5.4 million from a revised July rate of 5.37 = million). Last year's record was 5.3 million units sold, expectations = for this=20 year's total remain at 5.44 million units. And mortgage rates hit a new = record=20 low last week (5.85% for a 30 year), but may start rising in the future = due=20 increasing delinquency and default rates causing lending practices to=20 tighten.
 
New jobless claims fell to 406,000 from 430K, = expected was=20 420K. The 4 week moving average slipped to 419K from 420K.
 
Durable goods orders for August only fell 0.6% = against=20 expectations of a drop of 2.6 to 3.4%. Some forecasts were for a drop of = as much=20 as 4.8%. Excluding defense goods, the rate rose 0.6%. Excluding = transportation,=20 the orders fell 0.9%.
 
IMF (Int'l Monetary Fund) trimmed its forecasts = for this=20 year and next globally. Overall, it lowered forecasts for the global=20 economy to 2.8%, only slightly ahead of last year's 2.2% growth = (worst in a=20 decade). For 2003, they shaved 0.3%, lowering the forecast to 3.7%. For = the USA,=20 growth this year was cut to 2.2% and for next year to only 2.6% (down=20 0.8%).
 
Sure, the worst is over, and if you are sure of = that, I=20 have a bridge or two to sell you. That's why SBC Comms announced layoffs = of=20 another 11,000 workers for the 4th qtr, along with a cut in capital = equipment=20 spending of over 30% for next year. Remember the scenario, eventually = the strong=20 consumer spending that made the recession so shallow and brought us out = so=20 quickly would slow, but by then corporate spending would kick in as the = economy=20 improved and they ramped up production?? So far consumer spending has = not=20 substantially slowed, even tho retailers including WalMart and Target = already=20 warned of weak sales at stores opened a year or more. But business = spending is=20 not increasing either.
 
Univ. of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment for Sept = was=20 revised down slightly, to 86.1 from 86.2, and continuing a trend down = (August=20 final was 87.6). Expectations were for a revision to 86.0. Current = conditions=20 index fell to 95.8 from 98.5 in August, and Expectation index fell to = 79.9 from=20 80.6.
 
Final figures for the 2nd Qtr GDP were revised = upward to=20 1.3% from 1.1%. Consumer spending rose 1.8%. Business investment in new = plants=20 and equipment fell 2.4%.
 
Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill reassured the = Group of 7=20 that met in advance of the annual meetings of IMF and the World Bank = that the=20 USA had "weathered the storm" and should resume stronger growth in the = months=20 ahead.
 
In a continuing labor dispute during ongoing = contract=20 negotiations, Management of all West Coast ports locked out dock workers = from=20 6PM Friday to 8 AM Sunday, charging the union with "strike with pay" by=20 organizing a work slowdown. One sticking point? Data collected at other=20 computers is entered by hand at computers at the port by union clerks,=20 Management wants the data downloaded and offered job guarantees for = clerks no=20 longer needed. The union wants staffing level guarantees, and = jurisdiction for=20 other work at the ports. Worth noting - major retailers estimate that = every one=20 day delay at the port can back up goods for about one week, and right = now the=20 ports are busy with unloading merchandise for the Christmas shopping = season. If=20 it's not on the shelf in the stores, consumers don't buy = it.

WORLEY'S WATCHLIST WANNABES
This list is in no way intended to recommend any = stocks to=20 the group. It is a part of my regular personal assessment of the health = of=20 CANSLIM's "M" and, as the name implies, only intended to identify some = stocks=20 with constructive chart patterns that may be worth WATCHING and learning from (and of = course doing=20 your own due diligence). I am employed = in=20 Operations by a US Broker Dealer, however everything presented by me is = strictly=20 my own ideas and in no way should be taken to reflect the views or = opinions of=20 my employer.
 
I typically list stocks with both RS and EPS = ranking of 80=20 or better, and try to exclude stocks undergoing any merger / acquisition = /=20 buyout scenario. I look at all charts that meet = this general RS/EPS=20 criteria, focusing on ones at or close to a new 12 month high. I = consider all=20 industry groups and prices, even those I will not consider for my = personal=20 investing. I no longer will actively consider earnings = forecast=20 for this year and next due the confusing data presented by DGO. I do no due diligence, that is your = responsibility. I will=20 note any CANSLIM patterns I see, such as c&h, double (or triple) = bottoms, or=20 flat bases (shown as Bx where "x" is the # of weeks, IMO). I will also = note LLUR=20 (Lower Left Upper Right) even though it is not exactly a CANSLIM = pattern. Rarely=20 are any of these stocks of interest to me for my personal investing due = size,=20 price or industry group. I will note any stocks in which I have a = current=20 personal financial interest.
 
The population of stocks I am reviewing this = weekend is=20 the smallest I can recall in a long time. I don't expect much from=20 it.
 
APOL - LLUR
BYD - nice b/o from the handle 9/25, but volume = not=20 convincing
CCCG - c&h
CECO - consolidating
COCO - B4
DF - B3
ERES - LLUR
MWRK - c&h, nice capitulation right in the = middle of=20 the cup, good symmetry
PETM - c&h
PORT - B8
PXXI - B4
SBMC - B3
THO - c&h
TTWO - passed pivot of the handle on 3X ADV on=20 Friday
 
Happy hunting,
 
3D""
Tom Worley
stkguru@bellsouth.net
AIM: = TexWorley
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