From: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com (canslim-digest) To: canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com Subject: canslim-digest V2 #3088 Reply-To: canslim Sender: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com Errors-To: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com Precedence: bulk Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable X-No-Archive: yes canslim-digest Saturday, December 14 2002 Volume 02 : Number 3088 In this issue: RE: [CANSLIM] Not seeing it Re: [CANSLIM] Not seeing it Re: [CANSLIM] Not seeing it [CANSLIM] Cup and Handle on ROOM? Re: [CANSLIM] Cup and Handle on ROOM? [CANSLIM] Updated the Acc/Dis charts . . . [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Fri, 13 Dec 2002 15:19:21 -0600 From: "Katherine Malm" Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] Not seeing it Hi Dick, Thanks for the kind comments. I'm not really sure why you're having trouble accessing the chart that I uploaded to Jeff's CANSLIM FTP site, but you're not the first person who's had the same trouble. Try this link instead and see if that does the trick. www.cwhcharts.com/katherine/QSII121202.JPG Let me know if you still can't access and I'll send a copy to you offlist. Katherine - -----Original Message----- From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com [mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]On Behalf Of Richard Yoder Sent: Friday, December 13, 2002 3:01 PM To: canslim@lists.xmission.com Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Not seeing it Katherine: How come I can't download your uploads?? I tried with this one and it's consistant. I get the message, "The requested URL /canslim/QSII121202.JPG was not found on this server." Even without your uploads you've been a terriffic help and fantastic educator. Thanks. Dick Katherine Malm wrote: > Hi Robin, > > Sometimes what is considered to be a "cup with handle" vs. a "flat base" is > simply the amount of correction the stock makes from the high to the low in > the base. In this case, it corrected more than 20%, so the "dip" to the low > makes it a "cup". I've uploaded an annotated chart so you can see the "long > skinny cup with handle" with more detail at: > > http://WallStreet-LLC.com/canslim/QSII121202.JPG > > Katherine - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Dec 2002 15:43:33 -0600 From: "Norman Boyd" Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Not seeing it I don't know 'bout anyone else but I think you could possibly get a few more notes on that chart Katherine:-) Great chart! Thanks. Norm - ----- Original Message ----- From: "Katherine Malm" To: Sent: Friday, December 13, 2002 3:19 PM Subject: RE: [CANSLIM] Not seeing it > Hi Dick, > > Thanks for the kind comments. > > I'm not really sure why you're having trouble accessing the chart that I > uploaded to Jeff's CANSLIM FTP site, but you're not the first person who's > had the same trouble. Try this link instead and see if that does the trick. > > www.cwhcharts.com/katherine/QSII121202.JPG > > Let me know if you still can't access and I'll send a copy to you offlist. > > Katherine > > -----Original Message----- > From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com > [mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]On Behalf Of Richard Yoder > Sent: Friday, December 13, 2002 3:01 PM > To: canslim@lists.xmission.com > Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Not seeing it > > > Katherine: > > How come I can't download your uploads?? I tried with this one and it's > consistant. I get the message, "The requested URL /canslim/QSII121202.JPG > was > not found on this server." > > Even without your uploads you've been a terriffic help and fantastic > educator. > Thanks. > > Dick > > Katherine Malm wrote: > > > Hi Robin, > > > > Sometimes what is considered to be a "cup with handle" vs. a "flat base" > is > > simply the amount of correction the stock makes from the high to the low > in > > the base. In this case, it corrected more than 20%, so the "dip" to the > low > > makes it a "cup". I've uploaded an annotated chart so you can see the > "long > > skinny cup with handle" with more detail at: > > > > http://WallStreet-LLC.com/canslim/QSII121202.JPG > > > > Katherine > > > > > - > -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" > -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or > -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. > > > > - > -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" > -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or > -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. > > - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Dec 2002 15:40:26 -0800 From: Richard Yoder Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Not seeing it That worked fine, thank you. And, it's beautiful. Dick Katherine Malm wrote: > Hi Dick, > > Thanks for the kind comments. > > I'm not really sure why you're having trouble accessing the chart that I > uploaded to Jeff's CANSLIM FTP site, but you're not the first person who's > had the same trouble. Try this link instead and see if that does the trick. > > www.cwhcharts.com/katherine/QSII121202.JPG > > Let me know if you still can't access and I'll send a copy to you offlist. > > Katherine > > -----Original Message----- > From: owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com > [mailto:owner-canslim@lists.xmission.com]On Behalf Of Richard Yoder > Sent: Friday, December 13, 2002 3:01 PM > To: canslim@lists.xmission.com > Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Not seeing it > > Katherine: > > How come I can't download your uploads?? I tried with this one and it's > consistant. I get the message, "The requested URL /canslim/QSII121202.JPG > was > not found on this server." > > Even without your uploads you've been a terriffic help and fantastic > educator. > Thanks. > > Dick > > Katherine Malm wrote: > > > Hi Robin, > > > > Sometimes what is considered to be a "cup with handle" vs. a "flat base" > is > > simply the amount of correction the stock makes from the high to the low > in > > the base. In this case, it corrected more than 20%, so the "dip" to the > low > > makes it a "cup". I've uploaded an annotated chart so you can see the > "long > > skinny cup with handle" with more detail at: > > > > http://WallStreet-LLC.com/canslim/QSII121202.JPG > > > > Katherine > > > > - > -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" > -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or > -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. > > - > -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" > -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or > -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Fri, 13 Dec 2002 20:39:11 -0800 From: "Chris Jones" Subject: [CANSLIM] Cup and Handle on ROOM? This is a multi-part message in MIME format. - ------=_NextPart_000_000D_01C2A2E7.B184CA10 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Does anybody else see a cup and handle on ROOM, in the 1 year range? = Looks pretty ideal to me. Is now the time to buy, when it's likely at = the low of its handle? This stock also meets the CANSLIM formula = relatively well. What do you guys think? Chris Jones - ------=_NextPart_000_000D_01C2A2E7.B184CA10 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
Does anybody else see a cup and handle = on ROOM, in=20 the 1 year range?  Looks pretty ideal to me.  Is now the time = to buy,=20 when it's likely at the low of its handle?  This stock also meets = the=20 CANSLIM formula relatively well.  What do you guys = think?
 
Chris Jones
- ------=_NextPart_000_000D_01C2A2E7.B184CA10-- - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 14 Dec 2002 07:39:31 -0500 From: "Tom Worley" Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] Cup and Handle on ROOM? This is a multi-part message in MIME format. - ------=_NextPart_000_0023_01C2A343.F0C93650 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Hi Chris, There is not much "ideal" right now, especially after two straight weeks = of losses. I see a c&h with ROOM, but perhaps not the same one. What I = see is a left lip last March that began to form the handle at the end of = Oct into mid Nov. Breakout on volume week of Nov 22. Last two weeks is a = failure of that breakout, return to the level of the handle, and must = rebuild again. Certainly not time to buy for the first time. Might be a = second entry if you didn't fill your original position prior to the b/o, = but "M" continues to suggest remaining in cash. As a general rule, you don't want to be buying at the low point in the = handle in any case, rather you want to buy as it breaks out on volume a = dime above the high point in the handle. Right now, there is no evidence = that ROOM will simply stop falling at the level of the handle, it could = continue on down another 10 or 20 points, altho I don't see that as = likely. A further comment on the depth of the cup, it's too much. Max depth is = preferred at no more than 50% decline from the left lip, measured = against the prior leg up to the left lip. Went from 20 to 70, difference = of 50, half is 25, so the cup should not have gone under 45 (70 minus = 25). But it settled out around 38, with a spike down to 34. And the = handle, when it formed, was trending up along with the market rather = than flat or trending down. Volume did decline up to the b/o however. - ----- Original Message -----=20 From: Chris Jones=20 To: canslim@lists.xmission.com=20 Sent: Friday, December 13, 2002 11:39 PM Subject: [CANSLIM] Cup and Handle on ROOM? Does anybody else see a cup and handle on ROOM, in the 1 year range? = Looks pretty ideal to me. Is now the time to buy, when it's likely at = the low of its handle? This stock also meets the CANSLIM formula = relatively well. What do you guys think? Chris Jones - ------=_NextPart_000_0023_01C2A343.F0C93650 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
Hi Chris,
 
There is not much "ideal" right now, especially = after two=20 straight weeks of losses. I see a c&h with ROOM, but perhaps not the = same=20 one. What I see is a left lip last March that began to form the handle = at the=20 end of Oct into mid Nov. Breakout on volume week of Nov 22. Last two = weeks is a=20 failure of that breakout, return to the level of the handle, and must = rebuild=20 again. Certainly not time to buy for the first time. Might be a second = entry if=20 you didn't fill your original position prior to the b/o, but "M" = continues to=20 suggest remaining in cash.
 
As a general rule, you don't want to be buying = at the low=20 point in the handle in any case, rather you want to buy as it breaks out = on=20 volume a dime above the high point in the handle. Right now, there is no = evidence that ROOM will simply stop falling at the level of the handle, = it could=20 continue on down another 10 or 20 points, altho I don't see that as=20 likely.
 
A further comment on the depth of the cup, it's = too much.=20 Max depth is preferred at no more than 50% decline from the left lip, = measured=20 against the prior leg up to the left lip. Went from 20 to 70, difference = of 50,=20 half is 25, so the cup should not have gone under 45 (70 minus 25). But = it=20 settled out around 38, with a spike down to 34. And the handle, when it = formed,=20 was trending up along with the market rather than flat or trending down. = Volume=20 did decline up to the b/o however.
 
----- Original Message -----=20
From: Chris Jones=20
Sent: Friday, December 13, 2002 11:39 PM
Subject: [CANSLIM] Cup and Handle on ROOM?

Does anybody else see a cup and handle = on ROOM, in=20 the 1 year range?  Looks pretty ideal to me.  Is now the time = to buy,=20 when it's likely at the low of its handle?  This stock also meets = the=20 CANSLIM formula relatively well.  What do you guys = think?
 
Chris Jones
- ------=_NextPart_000_0023_01C2A343.F0C93650-- - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 14 Dec 2002 06:59:47 -0600 From: "Fred Richards" Subject: [CANSLIM] Updated the Acc/Dis charts . . . This is a multi-part message in MIME format. - ------=_NextPart_000_000A_01C2A33E.6397FC80 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit We have posted the updated Acc/Dis charts from IBD through Friday the 13th. Is the bear market rally over? We post the facts, you decide. http://www.adrich.com/SI/Info/A's.htm - ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- - ---- Fred Richards Corruptisima republica plurimae leges. [The more corrupt a republic, the more laws.] - - Tacitus, Annuals III 27 www.adrich.com - ------=_NextPart_000_000A_01C2A33E.6397FC80 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
We = have posted the=20 updated Acc/Dis charts from IBD through Friday the 13th.  Is the = bear=20 market rally over?  We post the facts, you = decide.
 
http://www.adrich.com/SI/I= nfo/A's.htm
 

Fred Richards
 
Corruptisima republica plurimae = leges.  [The=20 more corrupt a republic, the more laws.]  - - Tacitus, Annuals III=20 27
 
www.adrich.com
 
- ------=_NextPart_000_000A_01C2A33E.6397FC80-- - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Sat, 14 Dec 2002 15:15:33 -0500 From: "Tom Worley" Subject: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview This is a multi-part message in MIME format. - ------=_NextPart_000_00F6_01C2A383.A5BC0080 Content-Type: multipart/alternative; boundary="----=_NextPart_001_00F7_01C2A383.A5BC0080" - ------=_NextPart_001_00F7_01C2A383.A5BC0080 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable ECONOMICS Confirming what we have already been seeing in 2002, the ISM forecasts a = continued "jobless" economic recovery in 2003. They expect factory = revenues to grow by 5.4% compared to the 1.1% thus far in 2002. = Manufacturing capital spending is expected to increase 4.6%, but = employment is expected to shrink a further 0.6%. By contrast, the = service sector is expected to reduce capital spending by 0.4% while = increasing employment by 0.2%. Wholesaler's inventories fell 0.3% in October, first drop in 6 months. = Expectations were for a rise of 0.1% after the 0.4% jump in September. = Sales declined 0.1%, suggesting to me two things: wholesalers are = reacting faster to sales to prevent a glut of inventory; and inventories = overall are very low so any improvement in sales will ripple all the way = back to the producers. All businesses combined showed a 0.2% increase in = inventories, in line with expectations and below Sept's 0.6% increase. New claims for unemployment benefits rocketed right back up = unexpectedly, offsetting the equally unexpected drop in the prior week. = Both are due to govt difficulties in making seasonal changes due to the = Thanksgiving holiday. The 4 week average showed an increase of 10,000. = The Continuing claims had a huge drop of 165,000. While the media tries = to suggest this shows people are finding jobs, I find it far more likely = that it merely reflects the number of people losing unemployment = benefits, and dropping off the charts. Certainly, no economic report I = have seen suggests measurable job creation. Retail sales for November were much better than expected at the core = level (excluding autos) rising 0.5% vs expected 0.2%. Overall, sales = rose an expected 0.4%. Some of the biggest gains came in furniture and = building equipment / garden supplies (gardening in December??, gotta be = a Sun Belt thing!!). Univ. of Michigan's consumer sentiment index beat expectations, rising = to 87.0 in mid-December from 84.2 in November. Expectations were a rise = to 85.0. The current conditions component rose to 95.9 from 93.1, while = the expectations component rose to 81.2 from 78.5. The market tanked on Friday thanks to a deflationary PPI Report showing = that producer prices fell 0.4% in November, expected was no change. That = does, however, partially offset the huge and unexpected jump of 1.1% in = October. The core rate was down 0.3%, mostly offsetting the 0.5% rise in = Oct. Expectations there as well were for no change. Energy prices = dropped 1.8% (won't happen in December, I think) and passenger car = prices dropped 3.6%. - -------------------------------------------------------------------------= - ------- WORLEY'S WATCHLIST WANNABES=20 This list is in no way intended to recommend any stocks to the group. It = is a part of my regular personal assessment of the health of CANSLIM's = "M" and, as the name implies, only intended to identify some stocks with = constructive chart patterns that may be worth WATCHING and learning from = (and of course doing your own due diligence). I am employed in = Operations by a US Broker Dealer, however everything presented by me is = strictly my own ideas and in no way should be taken to reflect the views = or opinions of my employer. I typically list stocks with both RS and EPS ranking of 80 or better, = and try to exclude stocks undergoing any merger / acquisition / buyout = scenario. I look at all charts that meet this general RS/EPS criteria, = focusing on ones at or close to a new 12 month high. I consider all = industry groups and prices, even those I will not consider for my = personal investing. I no longer will actively consider earnings forecast = for this year and next due the confusing data presented by DGO. I do no = due diligence, that is your responsibility. I will note any CANSLIM = patterns I see, such as c&h, double (or triple) bottoms, or flat bases = (shown as Bx where "x" is the # of weeks, IMO). I will also note LLUR = (Lower Left Upper Right) even though it is not exactly a CANSLIM = pattern. Rarely are any of these stocks of interest to me for my = personal investing due size, price or industry group. I will note any = stocks in which I have a current personal financial interest. The population of stocks I am reviewing this weekend substantially = declined, reflecting "M". ASGR - B4 BGFV - c&h formed, new company so beware of pro forma earnings BSTE - c&h, but handle getting too old and even has a small c&h in the = long handle CCDC - 8 week consolidation CPG - LLUR, but rough. good sales growth, poor earnings as most go to = pay dividends (5.6% yield), REIT CRAY - B4, low priced CTSH - 8 week consolidation EBAY - nice c&h IDXC - deep cup, good growth, in my VR Fund MVL - c&h PCLE - B5+ QSII - B4 UMPQ - c&h, handle trending down, declining volume Happy Hunting, Tom Worley stkguru@bellsouth.net AIM: TexWorley - ------=_NextPart_001_00F7_01C2A383.A5BC0080 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
ECONOMICS
Confirming what we have already been seeing in = 2002, the=20 ISM forecasts a continued "jobless" economic recovery in 2003. They = expect=20 factory revenues to grow by 5.4% compared to the 1.1% thus far in 2002.=20 Manufacturing capital spending is expected to increase 4.6%, but = employment is=20 expected to shrink a further 0.6%. By contrast, the service sector is = expected=20 to reduce capital spending by 0.4% while increasing employment by=20 0.2%.
 
Wholesaler's inventories fell 0.3% in October, = first drop=20 in 6 months. Expectations were for a rise of 0.1% after the 0.4% jump in = September. Sales declined 0.1%, suggesting to me two things: wholesalers = are=20 reacting faster to sales to prevent a glut of inventory; and inventories = overall=20 are very low so any improvement in sales will ripple all the way back to = the=20 producers. All businesses combined showed a 0.2% increase in = inventories, in=20 line with expectations and below Sept's 0.6% increase.
 
New claims for unemployment benefits rocketed = right back=20 up unexpectedly, offsetting the equally unexpected drop in the prior = week. Both=20 are due to govt difficulties in making seasonal changes due to the = Thanksgiving=20 holiday. The 4 week average showed an increase of 10,000. The Continuing = claims=20 had a huge drop of 165,000. While the media tries to suggest this shows = people=20 are finding jobs, I find it far more likely that it merely reflects the = number=20 of people losing unemployment benefits, and dropping off the charts. = Certainly,=20 no economic report I have seen suggests measurable job = creation.
 
Retail sales for November were much better than = expected=20 at the core level (excluding autos) rising 0.5% vs expected 0.2%. = Overall, sales=20 rose an expected 0.4%. Some of the biggest gains came in furniture and = building=20 equipment / garden supplies (gardening in December??, gotta be a Sun = Belt=20 thing!!).
 
Univ. of Michigan's consumer sentiment index = beat=20 expectations, rising to 87.0 in mid-December from 84.2 in November. = Expectations=20 were a rise to 85.0. The current conditions component rose to 95.9 from = 93.1,=20 while the expectations component rose to 81.2 from 78.5.
 
The market tanked on Friday thanks to a = deflationary PPI=20 Report showing that producer prices fell 0.4% in November, expected was = no=20 change. That does, however, partially offset the huge and unexpected = jump of=20 1.1% in October. The core rate was down 0.3%, mostly offsetting the 0.5% = rise in=20 Oct. Expectations there as well were for no change. Energy prices = dropped 1.8%=20 (won't happen in December, I think) and passenger car prices dropped = 3.6%.
WORLEY'S WATCHLIST WANNABES
This list is in no way intended to recommend any = stocks to=20 the group. It is a part of my regular personal assessment of the health = of=20 CANSLIM's "M" and, as the name implies, only intended to identify some = stocks=20 with constructive chart patterns that may be worth WATCHING and learning from (and of = course doing=20 your own due diligence). I am employed = in=20 Operations by a US Broker Dealer, however everything presented by me is = strictly=20 my own ideas and in no way should be taken to reflect the views or = opinions of=20 my employer.
 
I typically list stocks with both RS and EPS = ranking of 80=20 or better, and try to exclude stocks undergoing any merger / acquisition = /=20 buyout scenario. I look at all charts that meet = this general RS/EPS=20 criteria, focusing on ones at or close to a new 12 month high. I = consider all=20 industry groups and prices, even those I will not consider for my = personal=20 investing. I no longer will actively consider earnings = forecast=20 for this year and next due the confusing data presented by DGO. I do no due diligence, that is your = responsibility. I will=20 note any CANSLIM patterns I see, such as c&h, double (or triple) = bottoms, or=20 flat bases (shown as Bx where "x" is the # of weeks, IMO). I will also = note LLUR=20 (Lower Left Upper Right) even though it is not exactly a CANSLIM = pattern. Rarely=20 are any of these stocks of interest to me for my personal investing due = size,=20 price or industry group. I will note any stocks in which I have a = current=20 personal financial interest.
 
The population of stocks I am reviewing this = weekend=20 substantially declined, reflecting "M".
 
ASGR - B4
BGFV - c&h formed, new company so beware of pro forma = earnings
BSTE - c&h, but handle getting too old and even has a small = c&h in=20 the long handle
CCDC - 8 week consolidation
CPG - LLUR, but rough. good sales growth, poor earnings as most go = to pay=20 dividends (5.6% yield), REIT
CRAY - B4, low priced
CTSH - 8 week consolidation
EBAY - nice c&h
IDXC - deep cup, good growth, in my VR Fund
MVL - c&h
PCLE - B5+
QSII - B4
UMPQ - c&h, handle trending down, declining volume
 
Happy Hunting,
 
=
3D""
Tom Worley
stkguru@bellsouth.net
AIM: = TexWorley
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