From: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com (canslim-digest) To: canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com Subject: canslim-digest V2 #3240 Reply-To: canslim Sender: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com Errors-To: owner-canslim-digest@lists.xmission.com Precedence: bulk Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable X-No-Archive: yes canslim-digest Sunday, March 23 2003 Volume 02 : Number 3240 In this issue: Re: [CANSLIM] OFF TOPIC, stop order question [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Date: Sat, 22 Mar 2003 16:41:44 -0800 From: "Mike Lucero" Subject: Re: [CANSLIM] OFF TOPIC, stop order question I have had similar problems setting stop orders at night using Schwab. I believe the cause is the Bid and Ask moving around in after-hours trading. If I call Schwab, the brokers are able to place a stop order inside of these big ranges, and they will give me the Internet price since their software won't let me do it myself. Mike - ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mo" To: Sent: Thursday, March 20, 2003 2:22 PM Subject: [CANSLIM] OFF TOPIC, stop order question > I have had several stop orders rejected by E*Trade > recently and would like to know if other brokers have > the same restrictions. E*Trade requires the stop > price to be: > > at least Ask + $0.10 for a buy order > at most Bid - $0.10 for a sell order > > Further aggravating the situation, my rejected orders > were placed after the market had closed when > (according to E*Trade) the Bid and/or Ask prices are > essentially undefined. Has anyone had a similar > experience with other brokers? > > > My correspondence with E*Trade follows: > > I tried to place a stop order on 3/19/03 at approx. > 1:00 am EDT, clearly after the market had closed. The > order I wanted to place was: > > Buy 500 PWI, STOP @ $16.98 > > The order was rejected so I tried a market order for > the same security. The confirmation page for the > order (which I canceled) showed the following for PWI: > > Price: $16.80 > Bid: $13.12 > Ask: $33.76 > > I assume that my stop order was rejected because it > was not outside of the bid/ask price range. Where did > these prices for the bid/ask come from??!! The ask > price is 70% higher than the 52-week high for PWI! > > I experienced a similar problem the day before on an > order for DAKT. The price spread was not as > unbelievable as the one for PWI but my order was still > rejected. > > E*Trade's response: > > The skewed Bid/Ask that you see when the market is > closed is simply information that the market maker > reports once the market is closed. It is not > indicative of any actual Bid or Ask for that very > reason. As such, it means that most stop orders have > to be placed when the market is open as the orders > need to be at least $0.10 above the Ask for a buy > order and $0.10 below the Bid for a sell order. > > __________________________________________________ > Do you Yahoo!? > Yahoo! Platinum - Watch CBS' NCAA March Madness, live on your desktop! > http://platinum.yahoo.com > > - > -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" > -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or > -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. - - - -To subscribe/unsubscribe, email "majordomo@xmission.com" - -In the email body, write "subscribe canslim" or - -"unsubscribe canslim". Do not use quotes in your email. ------------------------------ Date: Sun, 23 Mar 2003 09:34:40 -0500 From: "Tom Worley" Subject: [CANSLIM] Worley's Weekend Weeview This is a multi-part message in MIME format. - ------=_NextPart_000_0067_01C2F11F.6DE0E290 Content-Type: multipart/alternative; boundary="----=_NextPart_001_0068_01C2F11F.6DE0E290" - ------=_NextPart_001_0068_01C2F11F.6DE0E290 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable ECONOMICS Housing starts tumbled 11% in February to a 1.622 million unit rate, = well under the 1.723 million expected. Severe weather was blamed. = Permits, however, continued to show strength and positive expectation = for the future, rising 0.4% to 1.786 million despite expectations for a = drop to 1.73 million. FOMC did as expected, and did nothing with rates on Tuesday, instead = opting to signal the potential for a rate cut between meetings by = admitting that they don't know which is the greater threat to the = economy, inflation, or continued weakness. The "heightened surveillance" = message clearly means they are ready to cut again depending on a number = of events, including the progress of the Iraq war, further terrorist = activity, or further economic sluggishness or even increased weakness = once worry over Iraq is resolved. The rally this week in the markets, = and the progress of the war, if both continue, likely mean no further = rate cuts, certainly not before the May meeting. In further confirmation of recent data showing a weakening labor market, = weekly new claims for unemployment remained high, slipping only 4,000 to = 421,000 and in line with expectations. The 4 week average of new claims = rose to 424,750, and continuing claims rose to 3.55 million from 3.48 = million. Index of leading economic indicators fell in February for the first time = in five months, dropping 0.4% and in line with expectations. CPI in February rose 0.6%, primarily because of a 5.9% increase in = energy prices. Food was also up 0.7%. The core rate was a tame 0.1% = increase. Expected was an overall increase of 0.5%, and a core rate gain = of 0.2%. - -------------------------------------------------------------------------= - ------- "M" As the week ends, some of the uncertainty of war with Iraq is finally = over, especially the "when", and to some degree the "how fast" and "how = much damage to the oil fields". Reflecting this, gold and oil prices = continued to retreat sharply, and the dollar strengthened. The southern = oil fields were already in coalition hands, and the wells, pumping = stations, separators, and marine terminals were captured virtually = intact with minimal damage. A handful of wells were on fire, and = expected to be extinguished within a month or so. Allied forces were = advancing rapidly and with limited loss of life, even though any lives = lost is still tragic. But the allied forces will only go up against the = best of Iraqi military in the next two days, that will be the first clue = to the degree of difficulty in liberating central and northern Iraq, = including the northern oil fields. Of the major indexes, the DOW 30 and the S&P500 both joined NASDAQ in = positive territory for the year, and are all well over both the 50 and = 200 dma. The NYSE Composite is within striking distance of its 200 dma, = as are most of the other indexes. A test of the October lows is, for the = moment, last week's news. Volume has finally picked up, running average = or better for over a week on most indexes. Both NYSE and NASDAQ are back = into overbought territory, a place they have not seen for a while. And = while up/down volume has surged strongly to the positive, the new highs = / lows ratio continues to lag substantially even while closing the gap, = a good indication of just how much the markets have depressed in past = months, and how much of the rally is institutionally driven in only big = and mid cap stocks. The cost of the war, and the humanitarian aid and reconstruction, is yet = to be assessed, but the US can apply the $30 billion in aid that Turkey = spurned by refusing cooperation. And already a move is being made to tap = the over $40 billion built up and backlogged by the UN Security Council = (almost two years of oil income, no wonder the people of Iraq are = starving) in the oil for food program from Iraqi oil (previously almost = exclusively to the benefit of French and Russian companies). Aside from = UK, the rest of Europe cannot be expected to lend much help in the costs = of recovery. After 8 straight days of positive numbers in the market = (including the best day in 20 years, and one of the best weeks in 4 or = so years), how much longer can the rally last? If you were not ready = with your watch list, or are not already fully invested, is it too late? = There are indications that much money is still sidelined by = institutional managers, and could be pumped in next week, in part for = the last week of window dressing. But soon Iraq will be last week's = news, and the markets will again focus on economic issues and = employment, both of which are very weak. This rally has been marked with = a number of breakouts with quality, I will focus my review of charts = looking for ones that have not already reached excessive extension. It = still appears to me that we are in a bull rally within a bear market = trend, only time will tell if the bear is ready to go into it's cave, = and stay there this time. Economics, employment and consumer sentiment = suggests not, but the latter can change very rapidly and drag the other = two along. - -------------------------------------------------------------------------= - ------- WORLEY'S WATCHLIST WANNABES=20 This list is in no way intended to recommend any stocks to the group. It = is a part of my regular personal assessment of the health of CANSLIM's = "M" and, as the name implies, only intended to identify some stocks with = constructive chart patterns that may be worth WATCHING and learning from = (and of course doing your own due diligence). I am employed in = Operations by a US Broker Dealer, however everything presented by me is = strictly my own ideas and in no way should be taken to reflect the views = or opinions of my employer. I typically list stocks with both RS and EPS ranking of 80 or better, = and try to exclude stocks undergoing any merger / acquisition / buyout = scenario. I look at all charts that meet this general RS/EPS criteria, = focusing on ones at or close to a new 12 month high. I consider all = industry groups and prices, even those I will not consider for my = personal investing. I no longer will actively consider earnings forecast = for this year and next due the confusing data presented by DGO. I do no = due diligence, that is your responsibility. I will note any CANSLIM = patterns I see, such as c&h, double (or triple) bottoms, or flat bases = (shown as Bx where "x" is the # of weeks, IMO). I will also note LLUR = (Lower Left Upper Right) even though it is not exactly a CANSLIM = pattern. Rarely are any of these stocks of interest to me for my = personal investing due size, price or industry group. I will note any = stocks in which I have a current personal financial interest, whether = real money or virtual reality (VR). The population of stocks I am reviewing this weekend surged strongly, = growing nearly 50%. Many (most?) good CANSLIM stocks are already well = extended. AFL - love the duck, handle possibly forming, volume never dried up BLL - broke pivot Friday on volume BWS - right at pivot on Friday on 2X ADV DF - breaking out from a B4 DNEX - B5 EDUC - B4, low price, low liquidity, in my VR Fund ERES - LLUR FBP - c&h, approaching handle pivot FOX - saucer GAF - B10 HRZB - B8 ICST - c&h, volume declined early in the handle, picking up now IDXX - c&h JCOM - may be a handleless cup MFSF - B5 ODFL - c&h OZRK - B9+ PFCB - c&h, nice b/o Friday on heavy volume PKTR - high handle? PORT - LLUR RTLX - c&h, at pivot, low liquidity, in my VR Fund TTC - b/o Friday from a B5- UCBH - b/o Friday from a c&h below the left rim VTAL - c&h, low priced America is at war, God bless our military, they deserve our support, no = matter what you think about going to war Tom Worley stkguru@bellsouth.net AIM: TexWorley - ------=_NextPart_001_0068_01C2F11F.6DE0E290 Content-Type: text/html; charset="iso-8859-1" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
ECONOMICS
Housing starts tumbled 11% in February to a = 1.622 million=20 unit rate, well under the 1.723 million expected. Severe weather was = blamed.=20 Permits, however, continued to show strength and positive expectation = for the=20 future, rising 0.4% to 1.786 million despite expectations for a drop to = 1.73=20 million.
 
FOMC did as expected, and did nothing with rates = on=20 Tuesday, instead opting to signal the potential for a rate cut between = meetings=20 by admitting that they don't know which is the greater threat to the = economy,=20 inflation, or continued weakness. The "heightened surveillance" message = clearly=20 means they are ready to cut again depending on a number of events, = including the=20 progress of the Iraq war, further terrorist activity, or further = economic=20 sluggishness or even increased weakness once worry over Iraq is = resolved. The=20 rally this week in the markets, and the progress of the war, if both = continue,=20 likely mean no further rate cuts, certainly not before the May=20 meeting.
 
In further confirmation of recent data showing a = weakening=20 labor market, weekly new claims for unemployment remained high, slipping = only=20 4,000 to 421,000 and in line with expectations. The 4 week average of = new claims=20 rose to 424,750, and continuing claims rose to 3.55 million from 3.48=20 million.
 
Index of leading economic indicators fell in = February for=20 the first time in five months, dropping 0.4% and in line with=20 expectations.
 
CPI in February rose 0.6%, primarily because of = a 5.9%=20 increase in energy prices. Food was also up 0.7%. The core rate was a = tame 0.1%=20 increase. Expected was an overall increase of 0.5%, and a core rate gain = of=20 0.2%.
"M"
As the week ends, some of the uncertainty of war = with Iraq=20 is finally over, especially the "when", and to some degree the "how = fast" and=20 "how much damage to the oil fields". Reflecting this, gold and oil = prices=20 continued to retreat sharply, and the dollar strengthened. The southern = oil=20 fields were already in coalition hands, and the wells, pumping stations, = separators, and marine terminals were captured virtually intact with = minimal=20 damage. A handful of wells were on fire, and expected to be extinguished = within=20 a month or so. Allied forces were advancing rapidly and with limited = loss of=20 life, even though any lives lost is still tragic. But the allied forces = will=20 only go up against the best of Iraqi military in the next two days, that = will be=20 the first clue to the degree of difficulty in liberating central and = northern=20 Iraq, including the northern oil fields.
 
Of the major indexes, the DOW 30 and the = S&P500 both=20 joined NASDAQ in positive territory for the year, and are all well over = both the=20 50 and 200 dma. The NYSE Composite is within striking distance of its = 200 dma,=20 as are most of the other indexes. A test of the October lows is, for the = moment,=20 last week's news. Volume has finally picked up, running average or = better for=20 over a week on most indexes. Both NYSE and NASDAQ are back into = overbought=20 territory, a place they have not seen for a while. And while up/down = volume has=20 surged strongly to the positive, the new highs / lows ratio continues to = lag=20 substantially even while closing the gap, a good indication of just how = much the=20 markets have depressed in past months, and how much of the rally is=20 institutionally driven in only big and mid cap stocks.
 
The cost of the war, and the humanitarian aid = and=20 reconstruction, is yet to be assessed, but the US can apply the $30 = billion in=20 aid that Turkey spurned by refusing cooperation. And already a move is = being=20 made to tap the over $40 billion built up and backlogged by the UN = Security=20 Council (almost two years of oil income, no wonder the people of Iraq = are=20 starving) in the oil for food program from Iraqi oil (previously almost=20 exclusively to the benefit of French and Russian companies). Aside from = UK, the=20 rest of Europe cannot be expected to lend much help in the costs of = recovery.=20 After 8 straight days of positive numbers in the market (including the = best day=20 in 20 years, and one of the best weeks in 4 or so years), how much = longer can=20 the rally last? If you were not ready with your watch list, or are not = already=20 fully invested, is it too late? There are indications that much money is = still=20 sidelined by institutional managers, and could be pumped in next week, = in part=20 for the last week of window dressing. But soon Iraq will be last week's = news,=20 and the markets will again focus on economic issues and employment, both = of=20 which are very weak. This rally has been marked with a number of = breakouts with=20 quality, I will focus my review of charts looking for ones that have not = already=20 reached excessive extension. It still appears to me that we are in a = bull rally=20 within a bear market trend, only time will tell if the bear is ready to = go into=20 it's cave, and stay there this time. Economics, employment and consumer=20 sentiment suggests not, but the latter can change very rapidly and = drag the=20 other two along.
WORLEY'S WATCHLIST WANNABES=20
This list is in no way intended to recommend any = stocks to=20 the group. It is a part of my regular personal assessment of the health = of=20 CANSLIM's "M" and, as the name implies, only intended to identify some = stocks=20 with constructive chart patterns that may be worth WATCHING and learning from (and of = course doing=20 your own due diligence). I am employed = in=20 Operations by a US Broker Dealer, however everything presented by me is = strictly=20 my own ideas and in no way should be taken to reflect the views or = opinions of=20 my employer.
 
I typically list stocks with both RS and EPS = ranking of 80=20 or better, and try to exclude stocks undergoing any merger / acquisition = /=20 buyout scenario. I look at all charts that meet = this general RS/EPS=20 criteria, focusing on ones at or close to a new 12 month high. I = consider all=20 industry groups and prices, even those I will not consider for my = personal=20 investing. I no longer will actively consider earnings = forecast=20 for this year and next due the confusing data presented by DGO. I do no due diligence, that is your = responsibility. I will=20 note any CANSLIM patterns I see, such as c&h, double (or triple) = bottoms, or=20 flat bases (shown as Bx where "x" is the # of weeks, IMO). I will also = note LLUR=20 (Lower Left Upper Right) even though it is not exactly a CANSLIM = pattern. Rarely=20 are any of these stocks of interest to me for my personal investing due = size,=20 price or industry group. I will note any stocks in which I have a = current=20 personal financial interest, whether real money or virtual reality=20 (VR).
 
The population of stocks I am reviewing this = weekend=20 surged strongly, growing nearly 50%. Many (most?) good CANSLIM stocks = are=20 already well extended.
 
AFL - love the duck, handle possibly forming, volume never dried = up
BLL - broke pivot Friday on volume
BWS - right at pivot on Friday on 2X ADV
DF - breaking out from a B4
DNEX - B5
EDUC - B4, low price, low liquidity, in my VR Fund
ERES - LLUR
FBP - c&h, approaching handle pivot
FOX - saucer
GAF - B10
HRZB - B8
ICST - c&h, volume declined early in the handle, picking up = now
IDXX - c&h
JCOM - may be a handleless cup
MFSF - B5
ODFL - c&h
OZRK - B9+
PFCB - c&h, nice b/o Friday on heavy volume
PKTR - high handle?
PORT - LLUR
RTLX - c&h, at pivot, low liquidity, in my VR Fund
TTC  - b/o Friday from a B5-
UCBH - b/o Friday from a c&h below the left rim
VTAL - c&h, low priced
 
America is at war, God bless our military, they deserve our = support, no=20 matter what you think about going to=20 war
 
3D""
Tom Worley
stkguru@bellsouth.net
AIM: = TexWorley
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